Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.237192 0.255088 0.274034 0.295644 0.319684 0.345689 0.376061
2025-12-14 0.204919 0.230302 0.258886 0.293723 0.335392 0.384096 0.446015
2025-12-21 0.182157 0.210764 0.244343 0.287186 0.341158 0.407959 0.498637
2025-12-28 0.171577 0.203381 0.242038 0.293342 0.360996 0.449204 0.576533
2026-01-04 0.162224 0.196134 0.238551 0.296745 0.376562 0.485516 0.651848
2026-01-11 0.153314 0.188435 0.233442 0.296958 0.387106 0.515281 0.721232
2026-01-18 0.143690 0.178956 0.225038 0.291598 0.388794 0.531861 0.772215
2026-01-25 0.134370 0.169187 0.215428 0.283531 0.385424 0.539975 0.810073
2026-02-01 0.127156 0.161768 0.208450 0.278505 0.385821 0.553492 0.858407
2026-02-08 0.120350 0.154492 0.201163 0.272367 0.383763 0.562528 0.899758
2026-02-15 0.114793 0.148632 0.195493 0.268139 0.384159 0.575366 0.949708
2026-02-22 0.111939 0.146393 0.194834 0.271360 0.396615 0.609793 1.046740
2026-03-01 0.107788 0.142214 0.191268 0.270082 0.401982 0.633208 1.128040
2026-03-08 0.103944 0.138312 0.187922 0.268952 0.407566 0.657865 1.217686
2026-03-15 0.099224 0.132899 0.181998 0.263228 0.404606 0.665995 1.272020
2026-03-22 0.097665 0.132054 0.182929 0.268691 0.421817 0.715140 1.433801
2026-03-29 0.095623 0.130372 0.182444 0.271705 0.434788 0.757506 1.590408
2026-04-05 0.093074 0.127798 0.180406 0.271894 0.442429 0.789729 1.729361
2026-04-12 0.089607 0.123674 0.175703 0.267147 0.440157 0.800192 1.810209
2026-04-19 0.085837 0.118945 0.169826 0.259996 0.432601 0.798004 1.853468
2026-04-26 0.082850 0.115330 0.165600 0.255536 0.430029 0.806866 1.933597
2026-05-03 0.079827 0.111556 0.160965 0.250084 0.425029 0.809498 1.994956
2026-05-10 0.077307 0.108490 0.157371 0.246326 0.423198 0.819477 2.084285